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aggregation-theory-nitter.md (2960B)


      1 +++
      2 title = "Aggregation Theory, Virtuous Cycles, and Nitter"
      3 date = 2022-06-27
      4 [extra]
      5 type = "post"
      6 +++
      7 
      8 In 2015, Ben Thompson first proposed [Aggregation Theory] in an article
      9 by the same name. He argues, in short, that the internet "has
     10 fundamentally changed the plane of competition," in that in our era,
     11 "the most important factor determining success is the user experience."
     12 Why is it then, that YouTube and [Reddit] and [Twitter] all... suck?
     13 
     14 <!-- more -->
     15 
     16 The answer, I believe, lies just a sentence later in the article:
     17 
     18 > ... the best distributors/aggregators/market-makers win by providing
     19 > the best experience, which earns them the most consumers/users, which
     20 > attracts the most suppliers, which enhances the user experience in a
     21 > virtuous cycle.
     22 
     23 When YouTube first launched in 2005, it provided users with a vastly
     24 better experience than anything else available at the time. No longer
     25 did you have to download videos via `BitTorrent` or `ftp` (or however
     26 else one procured [elephant videos] back in the day): now you could
     27 stream them on the web.
     28 
     29 17 years have passed since then, and the world is a much different
     30 place. YouTube is the king of video on the internet. And yet, your
     31 browser's default `<video>` tag provides a way better experience than
     32 the slow and clunky YouTube player.
     33 
     34 The story is much the same for similar giants. Reddit was founded
     35 alongside YouTube in 2005, Twitter a year later. Both websites are
     36 slow, practically unusable on mobile, and heavily limited for those
     37 without an account.
     38 
     39 One would think that if success was truly predicated on a better user
     40 experience, such glaring flaws would lead to other platforms "winning"
     41 by simply providing a better UX. We can see glimpses of what this might
     42 look like with alternative front-ends, like [teddit] and [Nitter], which
     43 wrap around the existing platforms while massively cutting down on bloat
     44 – providing an objectively better UX. Nevertheless, YouTube and friends
     45 remain on top.
     46 
     47 The pivotal realization here lies in the second half of Thompson's
     48 paragraph quoted above: the idea that having a better UX grows the
     49 initial userbase of an aggregator, and that *having those users*
     50 enhances the experience for future users (who further improve the
     51 experience, attracting more users, and so on and so on).
     52 
     53 YouTube and Reddit and Twitter had a better UX than their competitors in
     54 the early 2000s, and attracted millions of users in the ensuing decades.
     55 
     56 Now the moat is too big for alternative platforms to overcome – no new
     57 startups have yet built a user experience more attractive than YouTube's
     58 2.5 billion users.
     59 
     60 [Aggregation Theory]: https://stratechery.com/2015/aggregation-theory/
     61 [Reddit]: https://ognjen.io/reddits-disrespectful-design/
     62 [Twitter]: https://annoying.technology/posts/e6901c0ea272f57d/
     63 [elephant videos]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jNQXAC9IVRw
     64 [teddit]: https://codeberg.org/teddit/teddit
     65 [Nitter]: https://github.com/zedeus/nitter